AI Impacts (a large research project with various contributors, but I am the main one)
When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts
Algorithmic progress in six domains
Anthropic Reasoning and the Great Filter
Cause prioritization shallow overview:
Summary of my impressions (pdf) (docx)
Notes on interviews:
- Paul Penley (pdf) (docx)
- Paul Christiano (pdf) (docx)
- Owen Cotton-Barratt (pdf) (docx)
- Seán Ó hÉigeartaigh (pdf)
- Robert Wiblin (on CCC) (pdf) (docx)
- Alexander Berger (pdf) (docx)
- Gordon Irlam (pdf) (docx)
- Kris Putnam-Walkerly (pending)
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